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You wrote a long piece for us this week really unpacking from the beginning what the difference between news and events and pseudo-events is. There’s some philosophy embedded in there in classic Liz Lopatto fashion. Let’s start at the very beginning. This is a hilarious conversation for you and I to be having, but I’m going to ask, what do you think the word “news” means and why are we having to redefine news in the context of prediction markets?

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We focus on unemployment as our priority outcome because it most directly captures the potential for economic harm—a worker who is unemployed wants a job and has not yet found one. In this case, job postings and employment do not necessarily signal the need for policy responses; a decline in job postings for a highly exposed role may be counteracted by increased openings in a related one. Most harmful labor market developments of AI should arguably include a period of increased unemployment, as displaced workers search for alternatives. The Current Population Survey is well suited to tracking this, as unemployed respondents report their previous job and industry.,推荐阅读PDF资料获取更多信息

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